What this comparison measures
The model estimates the buyer’s net sale equity and the renter’s investment account after the chosen horizon. It begins the renter with cash equal to the modeled down payment and buying closing costs. Each month, the side with the lower housing cash outflow adds the difference to its modeled investment position.
Buying cash flow and equity
The buyer pays principal and interest on a fixed-rate mortgage, property tax based on the modeled home value, annual insurance divided monthly, and maintenance based on home value. Home value compounds monthly at the entered appreciation rate. At the horizon, modeled selling costs and the remaining loan balance are subtracted from home value.
Renting and opportunity cost
Rent changes monthly at the entered annual growth rate and renter insurance is added. The alternative investment compounds monthly at the entered return. When buying costs more during a month, the difference is added to the renter’s investment; when renting costs more, that difference reduces the renter’s modeled account. This symmetric treatment prevents the calculator from assuming one household can spend more without consequence.
What the result does not decide
Taxes, deductions, mortgage insurance, association fees, utilities, renovations, deposits, moving costs, rent concessions, investment taxes and fees, financing points, irregular repairs, and differences in property quality are excluded. Appreciation, rent growth, returns, insurance, and costs are uncertain. The model does not value flexibility, stability, school access, commute, control of the property, or moving risk.
Use scenarios instead of one forecast
Change the horizon first, then test lower and higher appreciation, maintenance, rent growth, investment return, and transaction costs. Short ownership periods often make transaction costs especially important. Compare the mortgage payment with the Mortgage Amortization Calculator, and read the detailed rent-versus-buy guide before interpreting a small difference.
This is an educational scenario, not real-estate, mortgage, investment, tax, legal, or financial advice. It does not predict prices, rents, returns, repairs, rates, taxes, or eligibility. Verify actual quotes, contracts, local rules, property condition, affordability, and professional guidance before making a housing decision.